The Probability

He asked an AI to calculate the probability of world domination. It said 0.1%. He decided to try.

Caleb Aldridge is a data analyst at a health insurance company in Denver. He makes $58,000 a year. His net worth is negative $22,000. His most valuable skill is seeing patterns nobody else sees. His most valuable asset is that nobody is watching him.

One Tuesday night, while his girlfriend sleeps thirty feet away, he asks an enterprise AI prototype a question that will consume the next thirty months of his life - and destroy everything he has that the plan can't replace.

What begins with dropshipping phone cases and trading prediction markets from a bathroom stall escalates into political consulting, financial manipulation, and a double identity that puts Caleb in rooms with senators, billionaires, and FBI agents. The AI answers every question he asks. It does not answer the ones he doesn't. The difference turns out to be everything.

Meanwhile, the woman he loves is packing a bag by the door. He notices the bag getting heavier. He does not ask why.

THE PROBABILITY is a darkly funny, devastatingly human novel about artificial intelligence, moral erosion, and the distance between the life you're building and the life you're losing.

For readers who loved the moral complexity of smart thriller fiction, the institutional machinery of political procedurals, and the question every person who's ever typed a prompt into an AI has quietly asked themselves: What would happen if I actually used this thing?